THE INSANE GASLIGHTING NFL IS MAKING ITS ALREADY INFANTILIZED FANS INSANE

Patrick Mahomes (in bathrobe) arguably the best NFL quarterback, on TV (with Jake of State Farm).

NFL Football fans: Of course the refs help the Kansas City Chiefs. The NFL needs heroes and dynasties and the NFL works to manufacture those. There are no great teams today because the NFL has made its product scoring-happy and any lousy team can put up a lot of points. The great teams of the past scored 50% to 70% more than their opponents, a staggering, dominating, point differential. The Chiefs this year score about 30% more than their opponents. There’s only one team this year at 40%. The Detroit Lions. 40% isn’t bad. That’s an average win of 30 to 22. The ’85 Bears were 63%. That’s dominating. That’s an average win of 30 to 12. The ’24 Chiefs average about a 24 to 21 victory. Any team can be beaten by any team today. But that doesn’t satisfy the hero worship urge, which is what sports is all about.

So the refs step in.

The response of most fans to this is, “Why do you watch it, then? Leave us alone with your conspiracy theories. You can’t prove it. Go away.” All good points. But two things can be true at once. One can like football and also feel strongly that something worthy has been spoiled. Last time I checked, a desire for reform, transparency, and truth was a virtue.

The refs cheating for the Chiefs is by far the most talked about narrative of the NFL right now. Just when you think it has to stop, it keeps happening. Why? Because it fulfills the most talked about narrative. It gets clicks and views. This is why the NFL, as a very large and smart business, keeps doing it.

Parity is a problem for the hero-worshiping NFL. There’s lots of parity today. Too much of it. The Detroit Lions very well may get ref help, too. I don’t watch thousands of games recording every error in officiating. I have a life. The feds got involved in 2007 because of the New England Patriots’ Spygate scandal. Pats coach Bill Belichick admitted he taped other teams calling their plays. Play-calling can be seen, but not taped and analyzed—which violates the rules, which is why the Pats were fined and denied draft picks. This happened. It wasn’t a conspiracy theory. Belichick is smart. He didn’t say “everybody does it.” He said “I did it better.” He did. Belichick, as he confessed, broke the rule. You can’t film teams in practice, you can’t film their sidelines conveying plays. But the much bigger problem was: the Pats were CAUGHT and, in addition, the Pats were a dynasty at the time, very successful. NFL commissioner Roger Goodell had, around that time, made the NFL legally an “entertainment” entity. Goodell’s first job with the NFL was assistant to Lamar Hunt (the oil man who tried to corner the silver market with his brother and founder and owner of the Kansas City Chiefs—originally in Dallas; they had to leave when the Dallas Cowboys formed). Goodell became the head of the NFL in December of 2001, one month before the infamous Tuck Rule play launched the New England Patriots as the greatest NFL dynasty ever. The Chiefs are the second dynasty in the Goodell era. The problem the NFL had with the Patriots in 2006 was now the dynasty smelled bad. The solution? Make the Pats look so good in 2007 (after Spygate broke) that fans were satisfied this team is SO GREAT— cheating isn’t a part of their success. Again, enter the refs. The “perfect” Pats (with sly officiating help) ran the table in the 2007 season—but wait. The U.S. Congress (remember Arlen Specter?) was closing in. The 2007 Pats were not “perfect” in the post-season because, by then, the NFL was being watched.

Because of the current parity problem in the NFL, real, dominating, dynasties are impossible. Great teams like the ’62 Packers (outscoring their opponents by 64%), ’68 Colts (62%), ’69 Vikings (58%) ’75 Steelers (55%) ’85 Bears (63%) 2000 Ravens (58%) are rare. The 2019 Chiefs were 35% The 24 Lions (the best today) are 40%. The 1970 Lions, who failed in the playoffs, were 40%. The 2007 Pats (their best) were 51% and now teams we admire today, like Joe Burrow’s Bengals, are merely 5%. Today’s Chiefs are 30% But the NFL still needs great teams. But no team dominates. 450 points for and 420 points against is NOT a great team. And that’s all we have today. So the REFS make sure we still have teams that are 16-1 in terms of wins and losses. Parity is a limp balloon. Dynasties = Oxygen. And the hero, a Patrick Mahomes, needs his dynasty. Otherwise fans laugh: “Where are your rings?” This has all been figured out. The hero circus must be fed.

The NFL, we all know, is a rich man’s toy, but unlike baseball, money can’t buy a good team in the NFL—there’s too many complex issues to an NFL team and its 40, 50, 60 man roster. Some of the greatest teams in NFL history have had terribly average QBs.

In fact, QBs are the most overrated creatures in human history. As fans swoon over Josh Allen, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes, (who all average around 40 touchdown passes with less than 10 interceptions) let them take a quick look at the greatest modern NFL teams and this will quickly enlighten them. We have already pointed out that the Patrick Mahomes Chiefs score 30% more than their opponents. The 2000 Ravens scored 58% more than their opponents and humiliated their SB opponent. Their 2 QB were Banks 8 TDs and 8 INT and Dilfer 15 TD and 12 INT (all stats include playoffs). The 1972 Dolphins scored 53% more than their opponents and their QB were Griese 5 TD 5 INT and Morrall 10 TD 8 INT. The 1968 Colts scored 62% more than their opponents and their QB was Morrall 26 TD 17 INT. The 1969 Vikings scored 58% more than their opponents and their QB was Joe Kapp 20 TD 17 INT. These are unquestionably the most dominating teams in modern NFL history. The 85 Bears scored 63% more than their opponents. (The greatest Chief team was 52%, the 1969 Hank Stram coached team. The best the recent Chiefs did was 35% in 2019.) The 85 Bears team who annihilated their SB opponent? QBs McMahon 18 TD 11 INT and Fuller 1 TD 5 INT. The 1962 Packers outscored their opponents by 64%. QB Starr 12 TD and 9 INT. The most dominating 49ers team ever was the 1984 team at 54% —BEFORE Jerry Rice arrived, with Montana’s numbers a rather modest (again, including playoffs) 35 TD and 15 INT with tight end Clark and running back Craig his prime receivers and Tyler (picked up from the Rams) ran at 5.1 yards per carry. I know you starry-eyed fans love to swoon over your QBs—but you do them a disservice. The Buffalo Bills this year outscore their opponents by 30%. Football teams have large rosters. The QB cannot, and will never be able to win a game by himself. If they try, they go down in flames.

There is no New York Yankees in the NFL. No one knows exactly what makes an NFL team, as a team, great. So the question is: How does the rich man make his toy do what he wants? Because we all know the rich man will not be denied. He can’t buy a championship like an owner can in baseball, with Reggie Jackson and Catfish Hunter or Babe Ruth. What’s the secret? What’s the only way the rich man in the NFL can be sure his toy does what he wants? The answer? Shhhh. (The refs)

I don’t watch the Chiefs since I know the Chiefs (the aforementioned founder, Lamar Hunt, also founded the original AFL) are the current Pats (the “dynasty” is the validating coin of any league) and the NFL cheats for them. Or it sure feels like it. As a Ravens fan, I was curious how the Steelers might fare so I lazily switched on the recent Chiefs/Steelers game and the Steelers were down 13-0 but it was still early…pow! pow! pow! Pittsburgh drove down the field for a TD on 3 plays. But wait. The refs claimed there was some kind of “holding” call on Pittsburgh. Saw the replay. It wasn’t holding. And now the Steelers (they had their dynasty “turn” back in the 1970s) lose their touchdown and are back on the 18 yd line. I turned the game off. Do you think the Steelers cared at that point? Everyone knows what’s going on.

The NFL gets away with it because when ref unfairness is posited, this team’s fans call that team’s fans “crybabies.” The “crybaby” cover allows the refs free reign.

It’s a real problem. I’m going to talk to my congressman. If you wish to copy this text and write your congressperson, please do!

Refs are human, I get it. But let’s make them correctable humans. Right now they are kings and queens.

Suggestion: Automatically review every yellow flag. (In the NFL ref penalty flags are NOT reviewable.) And even add this new idea: Allow sidelines (the teams themselves!) to throw yellow flags if something is NOT called. (Fines imposed if this gets out of hand. I can just picture it. A team has just the lost the SB on the final play. If they call for a review of what they feel is “holding” against the other team and lose their appeal, they will be fined a million dollars!)

Let’s be transparent. Let’s be serious. If the NFL is an “entertainment” company and wants to be the WWE that’s fine, too. (We see all those Chief players, and even the Chiefs head coach! on TV, doing State Farm, Subway, Shampoo ads; we all know the by now, famous, Taylor Swift angle.) Just tell us. Otherwise this is gaslighting which literally saps a nation’s strength (Lots of people take football very seriously—it’s a religion, almost—and suffer psychologically from this garbage). Millions have it drilled into them from September to February that no anonymous official (no matter how wrong) can be questioned—ever. Is this good? Is this healthy? For a society?

When there’s a brawl in baseball, umpires don’t award bases or runs based on their subjective opinion of “who started it.” But that’s exactly what refs do in the NFL! Get this. To those who don’t watch football, this will sound unbelievable. If a player celebrates too happily and proudly after a great catch in football, the refs, with impunity, can subtract large chunks of yardage from the “offending” team, giving (depending on the situation) a game-changing advantage to the “offended” club.

If a blocker (whose job it is to block) blocks a defender so effectively that the blocked defender falls down, creating a gap for the runner to run through and score a TD, this score can be not only reversed by any ref, but automatically, according to the rules, the team which scored the TD is marched backwards— “penalized,”—many yards from where the TD play started. This call by the ref (which cannot be questioned by anyone) is based on a sudden, subjective opinion by the ref based on a rule which vaguely states the blocker is not allowed to block too effectively. Blocking is fine, and blocking always involves contact, grabbing, pushing, until there’s too much of that stuff, completely and irrevocably decided subjectively in an instant by the ref. The point here is that due to the nature of how such a penalty is played out, even if the ref is impartial, such a call, or non-call, on the multiple, fast-moving, blocks which occur on every play, especially those involving a touchdown (never mind penalities erasing crucial yardage) cannot fail to make one feel that ref calls are determining the winner—and it’s important to remember in a majority of games a team scores only one or two touchdowns in the entire game or wins by a touchdown or less.

No wonder America has acute yellow flag anxiety. What a way to ruin an American religion. (Or maybe the rule of anonymous officials is part of the religion?)

What finally matters is not that the refs currently favor Mr. Hunt’s Chiefs. The refs have the luxury of not caring. The NFL will start failing KC when the next WWE dynasty comes along. The point is, the refs (or the “New York” replay review office) decide which “State Farm Is There!” team wins. A grand master in chess couldn’t beat anyone if a third party were allowed to move his or her pieces any time the situation warrants it.

This is what refs effectively do when they decide to call “unsportsmanlike” or “illegal hands to the face” penalties during key moments during a game.

The universally accepted need for “rules” is what allows refs, using an extremely lengthy and extremely murky “rulebook,” to effect desired results (for the dynasty, or gambling!) in broad daylight. It’s the perfect crime (impacting billions worth of fortunes) and this crime never gets into popular crime stories.

It’s that perfect.

State Farm is there.

WHY THE BENGALS WILL WIN THE SUPER BOWL

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow's most memorable quotes
Joe Burrow of the NFL. The next Tom Brady?

The NFL is a corporate product which is sold on a continual basis by a set of very wealthy owners. The NFL does not own any players or teams; private businessmen (owners) own the toy known as the NFL. They do what they want.

The biggest story in NFL history is unfolding—black coach Brian Flores, head coach of the Miami Dolphins from 2019 to 2021 is suing the league: he is not being hired due to race. But the secondary issue is far more earth-shattering. According to the ex-coach:

The Miami Dolphins’ owner offered to pay him $100,000 for every game he lost.

Say what?

How could a coach even do that?

Lose—without anybody finding out?

How can the league be legitimate if the results of games are fixed?

The original NFL teams themselves, as businesses, grew out of amassed gambling winnings. There’s been a whiff of corruption and cheating around the NFL since its inception.

The NFL merged after the miraculous Jets victory in Super Bowl III—a merger (worth billions) was only possible if the AFC could somehow prove they were worthy. Enter the Jets and Joe Namath. The game looked like it was fixed, but who can tell these things for sure? The team favored by 3 touchdowns (the NFC Colts) simply had “a bad day.” Far more importantly: a hero named Joe was born. Heroes are everything.

The NFL, like the entertainment industry, is a star factory. If your team or your band has a star (Bart Starr, Ringo Starr) success is guaranteed. Leave the arrangements to the guys in the back room. They will manufacture any star one needs. Hero, here we come.

In the history of the NFL, a clump of championships belong to one team, and one team only, in every decade beginning in the 1940s (Bears). 1950s (Browns) 1960s (Packers) 1970s (Steelers) 1980s (49ers) 1990s (Cowboys) and Patriots in the first two decades of the 21st century.

From 1950 to 1957, the Cleveland Browns played in 7 of 8 championship games. Starting with the 2001 season, the Patriots played in 9 of 17 Super Bowls—despite Spygate slowing them down.

Like the Celtics in the NBA and the Yankees in the MLB, dynasties are necessary to spectator sports.

If every team were .500—which statistically, they should be—there would be no stars and fewer fanatics would watch. Sports is royalty, not democracy.

Another quarterback named Joe became the NFL brand 40 years ago. Many don’t remember how popular Joe Montana was. He wasn’t a great quarterback—he was decent. His team was special and they won some games.

In the 1990 NFC championship game, the Giants beat the 49ers, who were going for a 3rd straight Super Bowl victory. The Giants backup QB, the forgotten Jeff Hostetler, out-played Joe Montana. This isn’t supposed to happen. But it does.

The NFL just has to make sure it doesn’t happen too often.

The NFL is a business—and profits increase 50% when stars and dynasties prevail. To a businessman, this 50% is everything. There must be dynasties and stars.

The Patriots are done for now.

It’s time for a new star.

Enter the third Joe.

Joe Burrow.

And why is Joe Burrow so important?

Because he fits the NFL business model: he’s a star.

But he’s also something more.

Let’s look again at Brian Flores and his shocking allegation of a coach losing games to win a high draft pick.

What did the Bengals do?

They won 2 games two years ago and then got a top draft pick, the new Tom Brady.

The NFL will make sure the Cincinnati Bengals win the Super Bowl, for this makes intentionally losing a legitimate “strategy.”

This is the best way to rebuff the shocking and embarrassing revelation of Brian Flores: it is a fact that NFL teams intentionally lose games to get top draft picks.

Historically, teams do not win because of top draft picks. The Pats were successful for twenty years with a low-draft pick QB—Tom Brady. Due to their success, the Pats did not get high draft picks—yet they were still successful.

We must trace out the significance of the whole Brian Flores unraveling.

The NFL, to be successful in business, must continually adapt to protect itself against bad publicity. It must be sharp and pro-active. I’m certain there is a core of brilliant owners who tell the other owners what must be done for the good of the business: a secret club within club, a mind within a mind. Audacity of idea, not democracy, is the rule among elites. The NFL must have heroes. But it also must be ahead of the curve when there are bumps in the road.

So here’s why the Bengals are the team of the moment: The success of the Bengals implies that it is a good strategy to lose and get a high draft pick. The Bengals win 2 games, and use their draft pick to get:

Joe Burrow.

Common sense tells us that if teams do lose intentionally, this makes the whole league and every game and every record invalid and corrupt. 

The NFL, now caught up in this scandal, has one answer to the charge that games are lost on purpose.

We don’t care. We have great ratings. We have heroes. The losers don’t really matter, anyway. Losers are part of our success. The heroes who go in high draft picks matter the most.

Hero worship, not fair contests, is everything. And “strategy” (doing anything to win) matters, too.

Here’s the mantra: 1. Win at all costs. 2. Heroes who win are everything. 3. Cheating happens but does not matter.

But I still have one burning question. 

How exactly would a coach intentionally and secretly lose a game? 

Do QBs intentionally lose games? I imagine they do—for a very large bribe.

My guess is the coach must find a player or two with criminality in their background to blackmail: you will fumble, or else.

Or perhaps it works this way: owners hang out and a few say, I’m going to intentionally lose this year for a draft pick. The other owners agree, and wink, wink, let the refs know, and they take care of it. And to make the coach go along, you pay him off. 

Anyway, it’s fascinating to wonder exactly how, precisely, a team decides to lose and successfully loses without anybody knowing it. 

I have no doubt the NFL is controlled by…monetary secrecy..and yes, the NFL is rigged. I’m just interested in the nuts and bolts of how the public is deceived. 

Remember the Black Sox scandal? It threatened to destroy baseball. The very next year the dead ball era magically ended, a big star, Babe Ruth, hit all those home runs—a giant distraction—and the game of baseball was saved. The corruption was forgotten. 

How do we manufacture, but make it look random? I do believe this is the essence of social intelligence. This essence overshadows even pure intelligence. 

Criminal intelligence (alas) is paramount.

The Dupin detective—see Poe’s “The Purloined Letter”—who is more curious than you or I and who understands the mind of criminality, is rare.

Will the Bengals be the next dynasty? Perhaps. But right now they are serving a purpose, deflecting Flores’ blockbuster claim:

Hey! it’s perfectly OK, people, for teams to lose on purpose—if they acquire a superstar like Joe Burrow.

The NFL will seek to move Flores’ lawsuit to arbitration behind closed doors and hope that people forget the “pay to lose” scandal.

Joe Namath allows the Super Bowl merger.

Joe Montana makes the dynasty QB a real thing.

Joe Burrow justifies the crazy strategy of losing to get a top pick.

Way to go, Joe.

~~~~~

Postscript Feb 14 2022

Why the Rams probably won.

The NFL is “taking seriously” the allegations by Brian Flores that the Miami Dolphins owner, Mr. Ross, asked then-coach Flores to tank games at 100K a pop. My guess is the NFL will exonerate Ross following their “investigation” into Ross losing to get Burrow.

The Rams’ owner Mr. Kroenke just spent 5 billion to build a new football stadium. (His wife is daughter to the Walton fortune and her “ownership” of other sports franchises (NBA, NHL) allows him to get around NFL rule of not owning other teams—he’s worth 10 billion.)

The city of St. Louis won almost a billion dollars in a lawsuit against the recent move by Rams owner and the NFL from St. Louis to LA to house 2 NFL teams. (Rams and Chargers).

Finally, Rams may have agreed to lose to the Pats in the SB a few years ago.

For these reasons, LA may have been pegged to win the 2022 SB as a reward to Kroenke. Penalty flags did fly in Rams’ favor in their final game-winning drive. Not to take anything away from Kupp, Stafford, Donald, and the other Ram stars, but no mortal can defy a referee.

Two most interesting plays: 15 yard penalty against Bengals when a non-uniformed Bengals player came onto the field to celebrate a TD. Something kind of wildly ridiculous about the whole thing. 15 yards is a lot in a football game.

First TD by Bengals was a perfect pass by Bengals running back (trick play). A running back. Tom Brady couldn’t have thrown it better. The way these athletic receivers catch anything near to them, sometimes one wonders how difficult, is it, really, to be QB? It’s a team effort, and yet sports commentators go on and on about how “great” QBs are the key to the game. Eli Manning, down-to-earth player (son of Archie, brother of Peyton) was often laughed at and scorned by fans and experts. Yet he beat Brady twice in the SB.

Scarriet Editors